Former Ukrainian Security Official Says Lukashenko Unlikely to Order Belarus Invasion of Ukraine

What happened

New Voice Ukraine reports that retired Maj. Gen. Viktor Yahun, former deputy chief of Ukraine’s SBU security service, said in an interview that Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko is unlikely to give the order for an invasion of Ukraine while he remains in power.

Yahun framed this assessment around Lukashenko’s current political survival, suggesting that yielding to Russian pressure to invade would threaten his position. However, this claim is based on a single expert’s view and is not independently verified by other sources.

The statement provides insight into Minsk’s potential calculations amid ongoing conflict dynamics, with Belarus’s involvement being a significant factor in the broader militarized landscape stretching beyond Ukraine’s borders.

Known from the source

• Viktor Yahun is a retired major general and former deputy chief of Ukraine’s SBU security service.
• Yahun spoke to New Voice Ukraine on record.
• Yahun stated that Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko is unlikely to order an invasion of Ukraine while he remains in power.

What remains unclear

Since no corroborating evidence or confirmation from Belarusian officials or other intelligence sources is available in the supplied material, the reported assessment should be treated cautiously for now.

What remains unclear: Verify Viktor Yahun’s exact statements in the full interview to confirm context and quote accuracy. Check for official or third-party confirmation or rebuttal regarding Belarus’s intentions from Belarusian or Ukrainian sources. Confirm headline wording aligns precisely with verified claims to avoid overstating assertion certainty. Ensure source attribution is clear and consistent throughout the piece.

Evidence note

Outside Brief has kept this brief source-led and attributed. Claims should be read alongside the original source linked below.

Original source: New Voice Ukraine. Open the source.