DeepState analyst: Ukrainian and Russian frontline gains currently at parity

What happened

Roman Pohorilyi, co-founder and analyst for the OSINT project DeepState, told NV Radio on August 5 that Ukrainian and Russian forces have recently demonstrated comparable battlefield gains across multiple segments of the frontline. According to Pohorilyi, both sides are making advances but at roughly the same pace, resulting in a status of operational parity for territorial gains.

Outside Brief is treating this as a source-led account. Any disputed responsibility, casualty figure, battlefield claim or single-source assertion should be treated as unconfirmed/hearsay unless confirmed by another reliable source or a named official. Pohorilyi explained that while DeepState reports advances with some delay due to Ukrainian operational security protocols, June data showed Ukrainian forces held an advantage by halting significant Russian advances. However, he cautioned that Russian forces continue infiltration efforts accompanied by attempts to create misleading visual evidence purporting territorial control.

He emphasized that Ukrainian forces employ similar tactics in reclaiming and improving positions where tactical advantages and enemy vulnerabilities exist. Pohorilyi rejected claims of a large-scale front recovery — specifically the oft-cited figure of 470 kilometers — noting that while there are localized successes, these are more measured and not yet fully verified.

Known from the source

• Roman Pohorilyi is the co-founder and analyst of the OSINT project DeepState.
• On August 5, Pohorilyi told NV Radio that Ukrainian and Russian forces have shown similar battlefield gains across different frontline segments in recent weeks.
• June statistics showed Ukrainian forces had an advantage in occupied and recaptured territory and stopped significant Russian advances.
• Russian forces continue infiltration and create false visual evidence about territorial control, according to DeepState.
• The frontline fighting now involves targeting logistics, concentrations, and supply lines more than large massed advances by Russian forces.

What remains unclear

Highlighting a tactical shift in the conflict, Pohorilyi stated that Russian forces can no longer conduct massed territorial seizures as before, such as gains of several hundred square kilometers. Instead, fighting now centers on strikes against logistic hubs, troop concentrations, and supply lines that complicate rotation and resupply. Despite this, Russian assault operations continue on a smaller scale.

What remains unclear: Confirm whether the central claim is corroborated; until then treat it as unconfirmed/hearsay. Verification of the exact frontline advance distances and area gains by both Ukrainian and Russian forces. Independent confirmation of claims about Russian infiltration and deliberate false visual evidence. Validation that Ukrainian advances described are verified and cleared for public communication.

Evidence note

Outside Brief has kept this brief source-led and attributed. Claims should be read alongside the original source linked below.

Original source: New Voice Ukraine. Open the source.